Category Archives: Inference

Using outcome-driven AI to avoid fake ROI traps

Businesses don't do data analytics because they are curious, they do it because the want results: to find levers in their own behavior that will change the outcomes in their favor. Yet most organizations aren't exploiting the data they have to the fullest; their data-driven culture is still plots-driven culture — data generates plots, and […]

AI for Science and Management in 2019: You haven't seen disruption yet

For all of its explosive growth, AI still has to make deep roads in management (as opposed to operations) and theoretical science beyond data analysis. But both frontiers will be pushed back faster and further than most people think, and with unprecedented impact. The difficulty so far lies in the balance between the complexity of […]

Probability-as-logic vs probability-as-strategy vs probability-as-measure-theory


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Attention conservation notice: Elementary (and possibly not-even-right) if you have the relevant mathematical background, pointless if you don't. Written to help me clarify to myself a moment of categorical (pun not intended) confusion. What's a possible way to understand the relationship between probability as a the (by Cox) extension of classical logic, probability as an […]