Barcelona and the Liga, or: Quantitative Support for Obvious Predictions

I've adapted the predictive model to look at the Spanish Liga. Unsurprisingly, it's currently giving Barcelona a 96.7% chance of winning the title, with Atlético a far second place with 3.1%, and Real Madrid less than 0.2% (I believe the model still underestimates small probabilities, although it has improved in this regard.)

Note that around the 9th round or so, the model was giving Atl├ętico an slightly higher chance of winning the tournament than Barcelona's, although that window didn't last more than a round.